Timberland Bancorp Stock Performance

TSBK Stock  USD 39.03  0.49  1.27%   
On a scale of 0 to 100, Timberland Bancorp holds a performance score of 13. The entity has a beta of 0.46, which indicates possible diversification benefits within a given portfolio. As returns on the market increase, Timberland Bancorp's returns are expected to increase less than the market. However, during the bear market, the loss of holding Timberland Bancorp is expected to be smaller as well. Please check Timberland Bancorp's treynor ratio, kurtosis, period momentum indicator, as well as the relationship between the downside variance and day median price , to make a quick decision on whether Timberland Bancorp's existing price patterns will revert.

Risk-Adjusted Performance

Good

 
Weak
 
Strong
Compared to the overall equity markets, risk-adjusted returns on investments in Timberland Bancorp are ranked lower than 13 (%) of all global equities and portfolios over the last 90 days. Despite quite unsteady fundamental drivers, Timberland Bancorp disclosed solid returns over the last few months and may actually be approaching a breakup point. ...more

Actual Historical Performance (%)

One Day Return
1.27
Five Day Return
(0.18)
Year To Date Return
10.47
Ten Year Return
212.49
All Time Return
438.34
Forward Dividend Yield
0.0284
Payout Ratio
0.2826
Last Split Factor
2:1
Forward Dividend Rate
1.09
Dividend Date
2026-02-27
 
Timberland Bancorp dividend paid on 28th of November 2025
11/28/2025
1
Disposition of 195 shares by Matthew DeBord of Timberland Bancorp at 16.87 subject to Rule 16b-3
12/15/2025
2
Will Timberland Bancorp Inc. stock outperform Nasdaq index - 2025 Technical Patterns Momentum Based Trading Ideas - DonanmHaber
12/19/2025
3
Insider Trading
01/13/2026
4
Timberland Bancorp Net Margin Strength Challenges Cautious Earnings Narratives
01/28/2026
5
Timberland Bancorp Is Increasing Its Dividend To 0.29
01/30/2026
6
Disposition of 376 shares by Basich Marci A of Timberland Bancorp at 28.23 subject to Rule 16b-3
02/03/2026
7
Acquisition by Basich Marci A of 747 shares of Timberland Bancorp at 28.23 subject to Rule 16b-3
02/04/2026
8
Disposition of 2000 shares by Jonathan Fischer of Timberland Bancorp at .5 subject to Rule 16b-3
02/05/2026
9
Acquisition by Jonathan Fischer of 2000 shares of Timberland Bancorp at 15.67 subject to Rule 16b-3
02/06/2026
10
Timberland Bancorp Cut to Hold at Wall Street Zen
02/17/2026
Begin Period Cash Flow164.7 M
Total Cashflows From Investing Activities-8.2 M

Timberland Bancorp Relative Risk vs. Return Landscape

If you would invest  3,340  in Timberland Bancorp on November 23, 2025 and sell it today you would earn a total of  563.00  from holding Timberland Bancorp or generate 16.86% return on investment over 90 days. Timberland Bancorp is currently generating 0.272% in daily expected returns and assumes 1.5717% risk (volatility on return distribution) over the 90 days horizon. In different words, 14% of stocks are less volatile than Timberland, and 95% of all traded equity instruments are projected to make higher returns than the company over the 90 days investment horizon.
  Expected Return   
       Risk  
Given the investment horizon of 90 days Timberland Bancorp is expected to generate 2.11 times more return on investment than the market. However, the company is 2.11 times more volatile than its market benchmark. It trades about 0.17 of its potential returns per unit of risk. The Dow Jones Industrial is currently generating roughly 0.15 per unit of risk.

Timberland Bancorp Target Price Odds to finish over Current Price

The tendency of Timberland Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above the current price in 90 days
 39.03 90 days 39.03 
about 7.27
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Timberland Bancorp to move above the current price in 90 days from now is about 7.27 (This Timberland Bancorp probability density function shows the probability of Timberland Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Given the investment horizon of 90 days Timberland Bancorp has a beta of 0.46. This usually implies as returns on the market go up, Timberland Bancorp average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Timberland Bancorp will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Timberland Bancorp has an alpha of 0.2041, implying that it can generate a 0.2 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Timberland Bancorp Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Timberland Bancorp

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Timberland Bancorp. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
37.4439.0140.58
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
26.9228.4942.93
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
35.8737.4539.02
Details
0 Analysts
Consensus
LowTargetHigh
11.3812.5013.88
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Timberland Bancorp. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Timberland Bancorp's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Timberland Bancorp's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Timberland Bancorp.

Timberland Bancorp Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Timberland Bancorp is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Timberland Bancorp's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Timberland Bancorp, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Timberland Bancorp within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.20
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.46
σ
Overall volatility
1.93
Ir
Information ratio 0.10

Timberland Bancorp Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Timberland Bancorp for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Timberland Bancorp can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
About 67.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors
Latest headline from MacroaxisInsider: Insider Trading

Timberland Bancorp Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Timberland Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Timberland Bancorp's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Timberland Bancorp's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares OutstandingM
Cash And Short Term Investments281.9 M

Timberland Bancorp Fundamentals Growth

Timberland Stock prices reflect investors' perceptions of the future prospects and financial health of Timberland Bancorp, and Timberland Bancorp fundamentals are critical determinants of its market performance. Overall, investors pay close attention to revenue and earnings growth, profit margins, and debt levels. These fundamentals can have a significant impact on Timberland Stock performance.

About Timberland Bancorp Performance

By examining Timberland Bancorp's fundamental ratios, stakeholders can obtain critical insights into Timberland Bancorp's financial health, operational efficiency, and overall profitability. These insights assist in making well-informed investment and management decisions. For example, a high Return on Assets and Return on Equity would indicate that Timberland Bancorp is effectively utilizing its assets and equity to generate significant profits, enhancing its appeal to investors. On the other hand, low ROA and ROE values could reveal issues in asset and equity management, highlighting the need for operational improvements.
Last ReportedProjected for Next Year
Return On Tangible Assets 0.02  0.01 
Return On Capital Employed 0.11  0.07 
Return On Assets 0.02  0.01 
Return On Equity 0.10  0.07 

Things to note about Timberland Bancorp performance evaluation

Checking the ongoing alerts about Timberland Bancorp for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Stock alerts and notifications screener for Timberland Bancorp help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
About 67.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors
Latest headline from MacroaxisInsider: Insider Trading
Evaluating Timberland Bancorp's performance can involve analyzing a variety of financial metrics and factors. Some of the key considerations to evaluate Timberland Bancorp's stock performance include:
  • Analyzing Timberland Bancorp's financial statements, including its income statement, balance sheet, and cash flow statement, helps in understanding its overall financial health and growth potential.
  • Getting a closer look at valuation ratios like price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio, price-to-sales (P/S) ratio, and price-to-book (P/B) ratio help in understanding whether Timberland Bancorp's stock is overvalued or undervalued compared to its peers.
  • Examining Timberland Bancorp's industry or sector and how it is performing can give you an idea of its growth potential and how it is positioned relative to its competitors.
  • Evaluating Timberland Bancorp's management team can have a significant impact on its success or failure. Reviewing the track record and experience of Timberland Bancorp's management team can help you assess the Company's leadership.
  • Pay attention to analyst opinions and ratings of Timberland Bancorp's stock. These opinions can provide insight into Timberland Bancorp's potential for growth and whether the stock is currently undervalued or overvalued.
It's essential to remember that evaluating Timberland Bancorp's stock performance is not an exact science, and many factors can impact Timberland Bancorp's stock market price. Therefore, it's also important to diversify your portfolio and not rely solely on one company or stock for your investments.
When determining whether Timberland Bancorp is a good investment, qualitative aspects like company management, corporate governance, and ethical practices play a significant role. A comparison with peer companies also provides context and helps to understand if Timberland Stock is undervalued or overvalued. This multi-faceted approach, blending both quantitative and qualitative analysis, forms a solid foundation for making an informed investment decision about Timberland Bancorp Stock. Highlighted below are key reports to facilitate an investment decision about Timberland Bancorp Stock:
Check out World Market Map to better understand how to build diversified portfolios, which includes a position in Timberland Bancorp. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in bureau of labor statistics.
For more information on how to buy Timberland Stock please use our How to buy in Timberland Stock guide.
You can also try the FinTech Suite module to use AI to screen and filter profitable investment opportunities.
Is Regional Banks space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Timberland Bancorp. If investors know Timberland will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. Comprehensive Timberland Bancorp assessment requires weighing all these inputs, though not all factors influence outcomes equally.
Quarterly Earnings Growth
0.209
Dividend Share
1.05
Earnings Share
3.85
Revenue Per Share
10.6
Quarterly Revenue Growth
0.107
Timberland Bancorp's market price often diverges from its book value, the accounting figure shown on Timberland's balance sheet. Smart investors calculate Timberland Bancorp's intrinsic value - its true economic worth - which may differ significantly from both market price and book value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Since Timberland Bancorp's trading price responds to investor sentiment, macroeconomic conditions, and market psychology, it can swing far from fundamental value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Timberland Bancorp's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Timberland Bancorp is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Timberland Bancorp's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.